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Addressing Vulnerability in East Asia: A Regional Study

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OVERVIEW


East Asia has made tremendous strides in reducing abject poverty, with the share of the population living below $1/day declining sharply over the last two decades. Improvements in non-income dimensions of poverty have also been considerable, if less impressive. But the region’s success thus far masks some remaining challenges—continued and widespread vulnerability to transitory episodes of poverty while the dramatic growth and structural transformation the region has experienced have given rise to new challenges—potentially increasing vulnerability of households, poor and non-poor, to a variety of uninsured risks. A large and growing body of evidence indicates that vulnerability to poverty remains high in many countries of East Asia reflecting the potential fragility of recent gains and continuing exposure to risks from different sources. The two complementary objectives of the study are (1) to raise awareness in the region of the scope of this challenge and of the importance of meeting it and (2) to inform and strengthen the regional policy dialogue and practice on how best to meet this challenge.

In laying out how exposure to a variety of uninsured risks influences household welfare and conceptualizing how public and private interventions can and do help households manage and cope with these risks, the framework the study is adopting is that of social risk management. Under this framework, measures to manage and deal with risks (and with the shocks that are the realization of these risks) are grouped into three broad categories, each of which involves a mix of reliance on public interventions, informal arrangements, and market-based approaches. Read more

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SURVEYS 


As part of the Regional Study, three data sets on risk and program participation are being collected in Lao PDR, Timor Leste, and Vietnam. Data collection instruments (questionnaires and field manuals) were discussed and developed for this exercise.
 
The questions in these surveys inquire on the frequency of a number of adverse events related to natural and biological hazards, economic shocks, shocks to health and household composition, and socio political shocks. On a shock-by-shock basis, the questions also aim at identifying the main losses caused by the above mentioned adverse events.

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Survey Questionnaire

Timor-Leste (89k pdf)

 

Lao PDR (448k pdf)

 

Vietnam (602k pdf)

BACKGROUND PAPERS


Providing Social Protection in East Asia and the Pacific: a challenge and an opportunity  (218kb pdf)
This policy note provides an overview of the link between vulnerability and poverty in East Asia and the Pacific countries, and takes stock on knowledge about safety net programs across EAP in terms of program design, government expenditures, targeting, and coverage.

Employment shocks and well-being in East Asia (52kb pdf)
The main objective of this work is to document the incidence and welfare implications of employment shocks in a selected sample of East Asian countries. The main empirical results exploit the availability of panel data with detailed information on urban employment conditions from Thailand, China, and the Philippines.

Contrasting Welfare Impacts of Health and Agricultural Shocks in Rural China (201kb pdf)
Using detailed information on a variety of shocks and household characteristics from the China Rural Social Protection Survey, this paper examines who are more likely to be exposed to shocks, what ex-post coping strategies are employed, and how shocks affect the welfare of Chinese rural households.

Gender Vulnerabilities in the Context of Economic Transition (382kb pdf)
The note aims to provide a brief overview of the main persistent and emerging issues and trends concerning gender and vulnerability in East Asia and their policy implications, in order to inform future efforts in this area

The Run on Rice (252kb pdf)
This note examines the reasons for the surge in world food prices, in particular of rice. It reviews the economic and poverty impacts of rising food prices in East Asian countries.

Changes in labor markets, and their implications for workers: The case of Vietnam  (310kb pdf)
This paper was prepared by Dr. Nguyen Thi Lan Huong from the Institute of Labor Science and Social Affairs (Ministry of Labor, Invalids and Social Affairs) in Vietnam to be presented at the Workshop "Managing Vulnerability in EAP". The paper provides an update of the main macro and labor market trends in the country. It then describes the most important labor market policies and institutions in the country. The paper discusses the relationship between some of the transformations taking place in the country and how they are affecting workers and their exposure to risk and shocks. It ends with a discussion of the main priorities for policy action.

Upcoming:

Health shocks, vulnerability and public policy

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WORKSHOP

The workshop “Managing Vulnerability in East Asia and the Pacific” (Bangkok, June 25-26, 2008) brought together policy makers, researchers, and staff from a number of regional and international organizations working on issues related to poverty and vulnerability. The objective of the workshop was to assess the key shocks experienced by countries in the region, their impacts on well-being, and to discuss existing and future policies to mitigate these impacts.  

The two-day workshop began with a framing and diagnostic session that highlighted the key challenges and issues, and presented what is known about risks faced by the poor in the region, coping mechanisms, and policy challenges in meeting social protection needs.

This was followed by six thematic sessions, each focused on specific sources of risk and recent shocks. The thematic sessions provided an opportunity for participants to learn about how different countries have responded to recent shocks, what types of social protection and other systems are in place to help households anticipate and manage risk, and what are some of the current debates on spending and policy priorities to better manage vulnerability. 

The first day focused on macro risks, including sessions on (i) macroeconomic shocks, (ii) rising food prices, and (iii) natural hazards and agrarian risk. The discussion turned to household and individual level shocks on the second day, including (iv) access to jobs and the informalization of employment, (v) health risks, and (vi) gender vulnerabilities, ethnicity and excluded groups.

In addition to addressing specific themes, the sessions explored some of the major systemic issues that drive national policy debates, such as the evolving role of the state, balancing security concerns with long-run fiscal sustainability, and promoting sustainable growth. Speakers presented different views within these debates, and reflected on the approaches followed by different countries in the region.

A closing session took stock of what was covered over the course of the workshop—what is known and where gaps in knowledge remain, where there is broad agreement, and where further discussion is needed, and it identified possible next steps.

Materials related to the workshop are available for download (all in PDF). A workshop report will be made available soon.

Agenda  (111kb)
Workshop Report  (275kb)
Overview  (96kb)
Participants (78kb)
Session 1: Introduction and Framing the Issues
Framing the Issues: Vulnerability in East Asia (185kb)

Ms. Ana Revenga

Director, Poverty Reduction Group

World Bank
Session 2: Macroeconomic Shocks
Introduction: Volatility trends in East Asia (148kb)Ms. Monica L. Parra Torrado
Economist, East Asia Social Protection, World Bank
Is Thailand ready for the next crisis?  (61kb)Mr. Maitree Wasuntiwongse
Freelance Consultant, Thailand
Is there a social protection renaissance in Malaysia?  (454kb)Ms. Yew Siew Yong
Professor, University of Malaya, Malaysia
Session 3: The Challenge of Rising Food Prices
Introduction: World trends in food prices and countries  (333kb)Mr. Luc Christianesen
Senior Economist, East Asia Poverty Reduction, World Bank
Perspectives from a rice importing country: The Philippines  (300kb)Mr. Romeo Recide
Director, Department of Agriculture, The Philippines
Perspectives from a rice exporting country: Vietnam  (325kb)Mr. Tran The Tuong
Deputy Director, Ministry  of Agriculture and Rural Development, Vietnam
Indonesia’s reaction to increased food prices (98kb)Mr. Bayu Krisnamurthi
Deputy for Agriculture and Marine, Coordinating Minister for Economic Affairs, Indonesia
Session 4: Institutional Arrangements for Natural Disaster Management 
Overall experience  (388kb)Ms. Angelika Planitz
Programme Officer for Asia and Pacific, UN International Strategy for Disaster Reduction
Vietnamese experience  (486kb)Mr. Le Van Minh
Director General, Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development, International Department Vietnam
Indonesian experience  (701kb)Mr. Suprayoga Hadi
Deputy Minister, Bappenas, Indonesia
Reflections on a Methodology to Assess the Impact of Natural Disasters on Household Welfare  (266kb)Mr. Luc Christiaensen
Senior Economist,  East Asia Sustainable Development, World Bank
Session 5:  Access to Jobs and Informalization of Employment 
Changes in EAP labor markets, and their implications for workers  (343kb)Ms. Nguyen Thi Lan Huong
Vice Director, Ministry of Labor, Invalids and Social Affairs, Vietnam
Migration to cities or abroad in search of work (162kb)Mr. Aniceto Orbeta
Philippines Institute for Development Studies
Labor market programs and policies for risk management  (125kb)Prof. Daiji Kawaguchi
Hitotsubashi University, Japan
Session 6:  Health Risks
Introduction to health and vulnerability in the EAP region  (222kb)Mr. Magnus Lindelow
Senior Economist
East Asia Human Development, World Bank
Successes and failures in expanding and deepening coverage of health protection  (1.48mb)Mr. Eduardo Banzon
Senior Health Specialist, World Bank
Getting incentives right on the supply-side (821kb)

Prof. Soonman Kwon
Department. of Health Policy and Management, Seoul National University

How to design and implement effective public health to prevent and mitigate the impact of disease--experiences from Thailand and beyond  (294kb)Mr. Phusit Prakongsai
International Health Policy Program, Thailand
Session 7:  Gender Vulnerabilities in Economic Transition 
Overview of the issues, traditional and new gender vulnerabilities  (251kb)Ms. Valerie Kozel
Senior Economist, East Asia Poverty Reduction, World Bank
Changing family structures, new vulnerabilities due to economic transitions in Vietnam  (492kb)Mr. Vu Manh Loi
Deputy Head, Department of Sociology of the Family, Vietnam

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OTHER RESOURCES

World Bank-Human Development Network  - Social Protection Group

World Bank-Human Development Network  - Food Prices Policy Responses

World Bank-Social Protection - East Asia and Pacific Region

ILO - International Labour Organization - Social Security Programs

ADB - Asian Development Bank - Social Protection Programs

UNESCAP  - United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific - Gender and Social Protection

UNISDR - United Nations. International Strategy for Disaster Reduction - Disaster Reduction Programs

ASEAN - Association of Southeast Asian Nations - Social Development Projects

IDS - Institute of Development Studies - Center for Social Protection

PIDS  - Philippine Institute for Development Studies (Research Institute in the Philippines)

Bappenas - Badan Perencanaan dan Pembangunan Nasional (National Development Planning Agency in Indonesia)

CASS Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (Research Institute in China)

 

For any inquiries, please send us an email.

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