Description: A presentation of impact evaluation methods that have proven successful in the Indonesian context for the social assistance programs Bantuan Langsung Tunai (BLT), Program Keluarga Harapan (PKH), Jaminan Kesehatan Masyarakat, (Jamkesmas) and the Pos Pelayanan Terpadu (Posyandu) initiative. The presentation will demonstrate what methods can be used to estimate program impacts using an evidence base that may vary widely in quantity, quality, and timeliness. PKH presents the best-case scenario, but several program features make valid estimates a tricky task. BLT and Jamkesmas are good for quantity and timeliness, but the quality of the data for impact evaluation is less than perfect. Finally, the Posyandu initiative has neither quantity nor timeliness, but enough quality for a clever impact evaluation design to say something meaningful.
Presenter: Jon Jellema, Social Protection Specialist, Poverty Cluster, PREM, World Bank.
Jon Jellema is an economist with the PREM-Poverty cluster at the World Bank's Jakarta-based Indonesia country team. He is currently engaged on a system-wide analysis and review of the household-based transfers and other initiatives that make up Indonesia's social safety net system. That work includes impact evaluations of the major temporary unconditional cash transfer, BLT; the pilot conditional cash transfer, PKH; and the government's health-fee waiver program, Jamkesmas; as well as implementation analysis and expenditure analysis of all household-based transfers (the previous three programs and Raskin, Beasiswa untuk Siswa Miskin, and transfers to the elderly, at-risk children, and the disabled). He has previously published articles on the impact of increased manufacturing activity on intergenerational correlations of education and consumption in Indonesia. Prior to joining the Bank in Indonesia, he completed his PhD at the University of California, Berkeley.
