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Country Brief

 DEVELOPMENT PROGRESS
 
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Quick Facts
Figures in italics refer to most recent period other than that specified

Source: World Development Indicators database, April 2009

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Mongolia has made significant strides in achieving macroeconomic stability and fundamental structural reforms since its transition to democracy and a market-based system in 1990. With the assistance of international financial institutions and the wider donor community, Mongolia has made substantial progress over the past period of democratic restructuring in laying down sustainable macroeconomic foundations and creating a private sector-led open economy. The next development challenge is to improve the lives and welfare of its people and reduce poverty by accelerating sustained and equitable economic growth.

This vision is articulated in its Economic Growth Support and Poverty Reduction Strategy (EGSPRS), a comprehensive medium-term framework of strategies, policies and programs to raise average annual growth and to reduce poverty from its current incidence of 33 percent.

The country adopted a new constitution in 1992 that embraces principles of democracy and private ownership. The country has become one of the most open economies in the region, setting free government-administered prices, exchange rates, and interest rates, as well as establishing a two-tier banking system and opening doors for private initiatives.

Although in the early 1990s the main sector was animal husbandry, today the biggest turn around over the past five years has been in the services sector where average value-added growth has been at 9.1% in 2005. The backbone of the real GDP growth has been mainly the mining and livestock sector, such as the exports of few commodities such as gold, copper, and cashmere.

 

In 2007, Mongolia’s GDP growth was at 9.9 %, a good move from 8.6% in 2006. Economic growth has been primarily driven by agriculture (which contributed 3.4 percentage points to economic growth), and services (which contributed  4.3 percentage points).

 

In the agriculture sector, the December 2007 annual livestock census reported an increase of 15 percent of livestock from 34.8 to 40.3 mln livestock, with the number of goats, sheep and cattle increasing by 18, 15 and 14 percent respectively. While most of the foreign direct investment (FDI) coming into Mongolia continues to go to mining, its value-added only grew by only 1.7  percent this year (mainly came from coal extraction). The services sector continues to show a strong growth, driven in particular by transports and trade (2.1 and 1.3 points) of economic growth respectively.

 
 CHALLENGES AHEAD
 

Despite these gains, Mongolia faces challenges starting from its geographical disadvantage of being a landlocked nation that is encompassed by a “tyranny of distance and isolation.”

Interaction and trade integration with neighboring nations is difficult due to transportation and delivery service inefficiency. In other aspects, it faces issues of integrating the rural population in the growth of the economy, reducing maternal mortality rates, improving infrastructure, and dealing with corruption.
 

Mongolia is experiencing a boom of its mining sector which brings new opportunities as well as major risks. Mongolia has a range of potential world-class mineral deposits, and has attracted considerable investment in exploration in recent years. 

Rapid rural-urban migration, and degradation of natural resources (forests, wildlife, pasture land) are challenges, which require urgent attention. The capital city Ulaanbaatar has grown from about a quarter to nearly half the population in recent years, rapidly increasing pressure on land and water, utilities, and services and contributing to increasingly hazardous levels of air pollution.

In rural areas, pastureland is being degraded due to a combination of desiccation and overgrazing. Forest and wildlife is being lost to illicit harvesting; in some areas at alarming rates. While boosting the economy, market forces have increased the disparity between the living standards of rural and urban populations. There is a widening income gap between haves and have-nots.

An estimated 33 percent of the population now lives below the poverty line.
 These binding restraints call for institutional reforms in enhancing the investment climate, fundamentally in the tax system and administration. Change in laws and regulations that can curb and eventually entirely eliminate corruption are essential to the increase of output and efficient implementation of finances. Eradicating corruption lies in demolishing the source from which it breeds which is the lack of transparency and accountability in transactions. Government’s strategy in taking on these changes is further solidified in the Millennium Development Goals, and formulated in the National Development Strategy (NDS.)

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 BANK ASSITANCE
   

The World Bank's Loan Portfolio in Mongolia

Mongolia joined the World Bank in February 1991. To date, the International Development Association, the branch of the World Bank that provides zero-interest loans and credits, has committed over US$ 459.0 million to Mongolia, along with technical advice and assistance. The World Bank has successfully completed 15 lending projects with total budget of US$ 265.430 million.

 

By January 2008 the total lending portfolio to Mongolia equals to US$141.320 million for 21 projects, from which US$ 30.5 million grant for 14 projects.

Current WB/IDA portfolio

 

Mongolia's population is highly dispersed over the country's vast lands (1.5 people per square km), creating relatively significant needs for additional infrastructure, such as rails and roads. Maintenance of existing facilities requires a large amount of resources. Bank assistance to Mongolia is therefore dominated by loans to the energy and transport sectors. The World Bank is now exploring ways to strengthen its support for poverty assistance and social sector work, in response to declining indicators for the country's social well-being.

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Sustainable livelihoods project

Strengthening Rural livelihoods in Mongolia  

 

 
 
 Projects
 Hygiene and Low Cost Sanitation Improvement 
 Fast Track Initiative project
 Index Based Livestock Insurance Project
 
  
 
 
 
 ACHIEVEMENTS
 

Connecting the People

Given the dependence of the Mongolian economy on railways and roads, the World Bank recognized early on that the country would need emergency assistance for the transportation sector. One of the earliest Bank projects in Mongolia, the Transport Rehabilitation Project, was designed to complement activities of other donors in this area by providing physical investments in rail and bus fleets to smooth disruptions in service.

Despite the advances in construction and fleet capacity, two pressing issues remain in the transportation sector: maintenance of existing roads and construction of new ones. Budget constraints in recent years have resulted in minimal investments in road maintenance, while the large territory and sparse population provide little incentive to develop new roads. As a result, only about 13 percent of all roads in Mongolia are paved. Another 30 percent of the roads are gravel or formed earth, and more than half of the country's roads are simply earth tracks.

In 2001, the Parliament of Mongolia adopted a “Millennium road” project to build a local infrastructure network, which will allow Mongolia to be connected to its neighboring countries in the shortest possible way and to gain access to sea ports in these countries. Transportation on current roads is problematic and is often impossible in winters, which is undermining regional growth and development. Thus, the World Bank approved US$34 million credit for Transport Development to help connect marginalized areas, improve roads, and reduce environmental degradation associated with poor road conditions.

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Internet Communications and Technologies

Since the mid-1990s, the Government of Mongolia has implemented a telecommunications reform program leading to effective liberalization of all market segments, partial privatization of the fixed line incumbent, Mongolia Telecom Company (MTC), and establishment of the Communications Regulation Commission (CRC) as an independent regulatory authority. As a result, the tele-communications sector has seen considerable foreign investments and witnessed tremendous growth.
 
The market structure has evolved into a multi-operator environment, with two national cellular operators, two fixed line operators, multiple VSAT, internet and other value-added service providers. The market has grown at a compound rate above 25 percent per annum over the last three years. At the end of August 2004, total fixed and mobile teledensity reached 20.6 percent, up from 13 percent in 2001.
 
The regulatory environment has also evolved with interconnection, tariff and licensing regimes that are conducive to competition. The GOM articulated a national Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) Vision 2010 providing a blueprint for the development of the ICT sector in Mongolia. The coalition government, in October 2004 established the ICT Authority (ICTA) as the lead sector policy agency. The ICTA is currently developing an E-Mongolia strategy. GOM considers these actions important to address its Economic Growth Support and Poverty Reduction Strategy which aims to accelerate pro-poor growth and reduce poverty through an approach that includes improving the environment for private sector led development and enhancing regional and rural development.
 
The Bank, with support from a Public-Private Infrastructure Advisory Facility (PPIAF) grant is currently assisting the GOM to develop a framework and strategy for universal access to telecommunications services. The focus is on achieving an appropriate and self-sustainable level of access to voice telephony and public Internet/information services in all under-served areas, particularly rural “soums” that are unlikely to see sufficient private investment without intervention in the form of financial support.
 
Considerable preliminary support has also been provided by the Bank in the areas of telecommunications regulations, postal policy, and IT legislation as part of the Bank’s larger sector engagement in Mongolia.
 
Currently, the Bank has started to implement a new “Information and Communications Infrastructure Development” Project. The project builds on the work conducted to date and will assist the Government in advancing the reform agenda.
 
The project is consistent with the recently approved CAS core strategic objectives of: (a) consolidating the transition to a market economy by improving the regulatory and legal environment for increasing private sector participation in the provision of infrastructure; and (b) reducing rural vulnerabilities by supporting new approaches to improve the environment for local economic growth. The proposed project also supports the GOM in meeting its commitment made under the auspices of the World Summit on Information Society (WSIS) 2003.
Supporting Energy Sector
 
Mongolia's energy needs are met mainly by domestic generation, as well as by some imports from Russia. Coal supplies about 80 percent of the country's energy. Additional energy is generated by diesel generators. The central energy system supplies Ulaanbaatar, three other cities and six aimags with electricity and heating, while in the rest of the aimags energy is supplied through coal-fired heat-and-power plants, diesel generators and heat-only coal-fired boilers.
 
The system experienced severe disruptions starting in 1990 and the resulting fall in supply was too large to be offset by the decrease in demand during economic decline. The Bank conducted a review of the energy sector which detailed current issues and future needs of the sector and incorporated measures for improving energy distribution. New energy legislation has laid out the framework for restructuring of the energy sector. World Bank’s Energy project helps Mongolia to improve the management and financial sustainability of electricity distribution companies in Ulaanbaatar and selected aimags, so that consumers are provided by reliable electricity supply.

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Stabilizing and Reforming the Financial Sector
 
A few years into Mongolia's transition to a market economy, the banking sector was hard hit by rocketing interest rates, poor banking practices, an underdeveloped legal system, and defaulting borrowers. In 1996, the rate of non-performing loans in the banking system was about 47 percent and the structure of bank loans was such as to discourage productive businesses. Two of the four largest banks went insolvent, and the other two were on the edge of insolvency.

In response, the World Bank issued two loans -- the Banking and Enterprise Sector Adjustment Credit (BESAC) and the Bank, Enterprise and Legal Technical Assistance Credit (BELTAC) -- which contributed significantly to reforms carried out in the banking sector and to instituting better loan management practices.

Financial Sector Adjustment Credit (FSAC, US$32 million) supported the Government's medium-term strategy for financial sector reform and development needed to achieve macroeconomic stability, accelerate private sector-led growth and reduce poverty. Completed in 2004, the project enabled the Government to substantially reduce its large stock of net domestic credit from the domestic banking system, and helped fund the cost of bank restructuring.

The ongoing Financial Capacity Development Project (FCDP, US$5 million) is supporting the banking sector as part of a broader effort to improve the investment climate in Mongolia. The project seeks to reduce risks in the banking system and introduce more financial intermediaries such as Mongol Post Bank and Zoos Bank to help diversify risk.

Fielding a representative office in Mongolia, the World Bank began to closely follow developments in the banking sector and the overall macro situation. This time, the World Bank played a key role in coordinating government and donor efforts to restructure the ailing banking sector. A review of the financial sector carried out by the Bank helped the government to formulate new policies and strategies for restructuring and further development of the financial sector. In 1999, two large banks were liquidated and another one was placed in receivership . A highly fragmented banking sector was encouraged to consolidate. Non-bank financial institutions filled the gaps created by the absence of banking services to some segments of population, namely, the middle- and low-income individuals, microenterprises and rural population.

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Backing the Private Sector 

Almost all of the Bank's activities in Mongolia have been geared to building the private sector. Some measures include restructuring public enterprises, providing credits for private sector initiatives, developing an insolvency law, supporting micro-finance schemes, and promoting foreign investment. In conjunction with other donors to Mongolia, the World Bank has helped reduce the size of the public sector and increase the role of the private sector.

Today, Mongolia's private sector produces more than 70 percent of the country's total output. However, the private sector still needs stronger support of the government in the form of legal coherence and stability, land reform, and secure property rights.

Second Private Sector development project in the FY2005/06 lending program.

The lack of access to formal term finance in Mongolia stymied the potential for the private sector to lead growth. To address this need for medium and long-term investment financing, the PSDC credit line was structured to meet both the investment needs for the sub-borrowers and the soundness of the PFIs. The World Bank has successfully implemented the Private Sector Development project that was a part of the broader donor program to support the development of the Mongolia’s private enterprise and financial sectors. Sub-loans of $200,000 in average were made available to 47 small and medium-sized enterprises through three commercial banks: Golomt, Zoos and Trade & Development Banks.

As a sign of the positive results from the PSDC, several Mongolian private entrepreneurs, who took sub-loans from the credit, have been actively positioning themselves to take advantages of the globalization with European markets and with the fast economic growth of neighboring China.

Inspired by the achievements of PSDC, The Bank’s management has decided to implement the  engaging the government, the private sector, and civil society on the topic of business climate through roundtable discussions.

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Helping the Poor

More than one-third of Mongolia's population lives below the poverty line. The severity and depth of poverty has increased in past years, compounded by economic shocks. The World Bank has committed to reduce poverty and has undertaken several projects aimed at this goal.

Poverty Alleviation Project worth USD 10 mln implemented in 1996-2000 helped the government to mitigate the adverse effects of Mongolia’s economic transition on the most vulnerable groups by creating jobs for unemployed people, promoting income generation for the poor, reducing dropout and non-enrollment rates in basic education by renovating soum schools, strengthening rural health services and assisting the poor herders affected by dzud.

The First Urban Services Improvement Project (UBSIP-1, US$ 16,7 million) aimed to reduce the cost of living and improve the quality of life for residents living in the ger (yurt) areas around Ulaanbaatar. About 46 percent of these people are estimated to be living below the poverty line. Living near the capital, they face high prices for services, at the same time they are vulnerable to the hardships of rural life -- they lack nearby water sources (especially difficult during winters and in difficult weather conditions), and face risks from flooding, inadequate sewerage, and air pollution created by coal-fired heating.

The upcoming Second Urban Services Improvement Project (UBSIP-2, US$18 million) builds on the lessons learned from the implementation of UBSIP-1 and aimes to provide improved water supply to the urban poor in a sustainable manner. The Improved Stoves Project under the Global Environmental Facility is working to help provide the infrastructure for commercial development of more efficient wood- and coal-fired stoves in Ulaanbaatar. The new stoves serve twin purposes: to reduce emission of greenhouse gases and to help economize on reduced input of wood or coal in these higher efficiency stoves.

The ongoing Sustainable Livelihoods Project is working to help shift Mongolia's anti-poverty strategy away from welfare-style measures toward those that promote secure and sustainable livelihoods for all. The strategy aims to manage risk in pastoral livestock production, increase hay and fodder production, promote conservation techniques, improve livestock marketing, create early warning and emergency response systems, organize herd restocking and conflict management, institute rural micro-finance services, and set up a community investment fund for co-financing and execution of investments in basic infrastructure and social service provision.

The development objective of the proposed Index-Based Livestock Insurance Project (IBLIP, US$7,5 million) would be to ascertain the viability of indexbased livestock insurance in Mongolia. This would be achieved through the piloting of insurance schemes in various provinces of Mongolia and the formulation of an appropriate regulatory framework. The proposed insurance would enhance livelihood security of livestock-owning households by reducing their vulnerability from livestock mortality events.

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 CONTACTS
 

The Mongolian Development Information Services is the focal point for providing access to World Bank publications, reports and other development-related materials. This is being done in support of the World Bank's policy of disclosure to be open about its activities and to explain its work to the widest possible audience. Review topics such as reports, data, and project through this website.

World Bank Mongolia
5F, MCS Plaza Building
Seoul street-4
Ulaanbaatar 210644
Mongolia
Tel: +(976-11) 312647, 312654
Fax: +(976-11) 312645

World Bank Mongolia External Affairs
5F, MCS Plaza Building
Seoul street-4
Ulaanbaatar 210644
Mongolia
Ms. Sunjidmaa Jamba
Tel: +(976-11) 312647 (ext. 207)
Fax: +(976-11) 312645
E-mail: sjamba@worldbank.org

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