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Joint Kyrgyz Government / World Bank / IMF Workshop “Coping with Short Term Risks and Vulnerabilities & Accelerating Long Term Growth” *

 
Begins:   Jun 25, 2008 09:15
Ends:   Jun 26, 2008 

* Workshop  organized under  the umbrella of the World Bank Country Economic Memorandum Technical Assistance led by Eka Vashakmadze


AGENDA, DAY ONE                                                                            25 June, 2008

Opening remarks

Igor Chudinov, Prime Minister of the Kyrgyz Republic
Annette Dixon, Country Director, World Bank
Ron van Rooden, Head of IMF mission


Session 1. Kyrgyz Economy at Glance: Recent Developments and New Economic Realities

Chair: Igor Chudinov (Prime Minister of the Kyrgyz Republic)

Speakers:

Jimmy McHugh (IMF) “Defining major macro risks and vulnerabilities” (PDF, 116KB)

Roland Clarke (WB) “Sustaining the momentum of economic growth in the con-text of global food and energy price increases” (PDF, 184KB)

Bart Kaminsky (WB) “How Kyrgyzstan has seized Opportunities offered by Re-gional Economic Recovery" (PDF, 566KB) 


Session 2. Government’s Reform Agenda

Chair: Talaibek Koichumanov (Investment Council)

Speakers:

Samat Kyljiev (MoF) “Medium-term budget outlook” (PDF, 220KB)

 Akylbek Japarov (MEDT) “Medium term policy to accelerate economic growth” (PDF, 321KB)

Marat Alapaev (NBKR) “Short-term policy measures in support of macro-stability and medium-term perspectives”. (PDF, 20KB)

Discussants: Jimmy McHugh (IMF), Eka Vashakmadze (WB), Ulan Sarbanov (independent expert), Sobir Kurbanov (DFID). 


Session 3. Accelerating Economic Growth: Leveraging Private Sector Potential 

Chair: Akylbek Japarov (MEDT)

Speakers:

Andrea Dall'Olio (WB) / Nursulu Ahmetova (USAID) "Reforms Underway and the Need for Implementation” (PDF, 296KB)

Andrea Dall'Olio (WB) “Access to financial services” (PDF, 198KB)

Maurizio Guadagni (WB) “Soaring Food Prices: Food Security Challenges and Opportunities for the Agriculture” (PDF, 116KB

Discussants: Suerkul Abdybaly Tegin (NBKR), Talaibek Koichumanov (Investment Coun-cil), Marc Saddler (WB consultant).


Session 4. External Shocks & Vulnerabilities: Macro & Micro Perspectives

Chair: Marat Alapaev (NBKR)

Speakers:

Ron van Rooden (IMF) “Monetary and fiscal policies to cope with external shocks: international practice and implications for Kyrgyz Republic” (PDF, 67KB) Presentation (PDF,99KB)

Sarosh Sattar (WB) “Poverty and distributional impacts of commodity price boom for Kyrgyzstan” (PDF, 57KB)

Franziska Gassmann / Boryana Gotcheva (WB) “Safety net responses to rising commodity prices: policy choices and fiscal consequences” (PDF, 81KB)

Discussants: Uktomkhan Abdullaeva (MLSD), Gnel Sedrakian (EU Food Security Pro-gram), Shamsia Ibragimova (Sotseconic), Lyaziza Sabyrova (ADB), Kazi Matin (WB).


Session 5. Supporting the Reform Agenda: The Role of Donors, Private Sector. Think Tank and Academia.

Chairperson: Jyrgalbek Kasymov (President’s Administration)

Speakers:

Jason Lane (DFID) “Kyrgyz Republic: Joint Country Support Strategy (JCSS)” (PDF, 209KB) 

Talaibek Asylbekov (IBC) on Cooperation with the Private Sector (PDF, 226KB)

Murat Imanaliev (Public Policy Institute) on think tank and academia engagement (PDF, 20KB)

Discussants: Aziz Aaliev (METD), Marat Tazabekov (Economic Policy Institute), Kenji
Nakazawa (EBRD), Eka Vashakmadze (WB), Roland Clarke (WB)

Closing Remarks

Kazi Matin, Sector Manager, World Bank

Uchkunbek Tashbaev, Head of Department, Government Office of the Kyrgyz Republic

List of participants


AGENDA, DAY TWO                                                                  26 June, 2008

Macroeconomic Policy/Mitigating Inflation Pressures

Location: National Bank of the Kyrgyz Republic

Chairman: Marat Alapaev, Chairman of the National Bank

Speakers:

Yulia Mironova (WB) on food prices increase (PPT, 248KB)

Seilbek Urustemov (NBKR) on National Bank response (PPT, 132KB)

Minutes from the session discussions


Strengthening Social Safety Nets In Response To The Food Price Increase

Location: Ministry of Labour and Social Development

Chairman: Ukhtamkon Abdullaeva, Ministry of Labor and Social Development

Speakers:

Shamsia Ibragimova (independent expert) “Assessment of effectiveness of cash transfers to households and chidren in the Kyrgyz Republic” (PPT, 189KB)

Franziska Gassmann (World Bank)) on fiscal implications of different policy options (PPT, 319KB)

Presenter 3: Asiya Tynybekova (MoF) on available budget funds

Excerpts from the workshop discussions.


Stimulating the Agricultural Sector

Location: Jannat Hotel

Chairman: Arstanbek Nogoev, Minister of MAWRPI

Speakers:

 Arstanbek Nogoev (Minister, MAWRPI) “On the agrarian sector development of the Kyrgyz Republic”Ministry of Agriculture on existing policy agenda in the sector (DOC, 99KB)

Maurizio Guadagni (World Bank) “Soaring food prices: Challenges for the food security and opportunities for the agriculture” (PDF,568KB)

Hiqmet Demiri (IFDC) ‘Fertilizers’ supply problems and opportunities’ (PPT, 534KB)

Excerpts from the workshop discussions.


Immediate Measures to Improve the Business Environment

Location: Ministry of Economic Development and Trade

Chairman: Akylbek Japarov, Minister for Economic Development and Trade

Speakers:

 Talaibek Asylbekov (IBC) on private sector needs (PPT,588KB)

Lyaziza Sabyrova (ADB) on Challenges of improving business climate (PDF, 291KB)

 Akylbek Japarov on the MEDT role in business environment improvement (PPT, 874KB)

Minutes from the session discussions.


BACKGROUND PAPERS

1. Miles K. Light (University of Colorado), Agriculture in Kyrgyzstan: Growth Engine or Safety Net?

2. Bart Kaminski (World Bank), How Kyrgyzstan has seized Opportunities offered by Central Asia’s Eco-nomic Recovery: Patterns and Modalities

3. Simeon Djankov, Svetlana Bagaudinova, Umar Shavurov(WB), Reform Memo on Doing Business in the Kyrgyz Republic

4. Souleymane Coulibaly (World Bank), Trade Audit Report of the Kyrgyz Republic

5. Ekaterina Vashakmadze, Yulia Mironova (WB), Kyrgyz Republic: Short Overview of the Recent Increase in Prices

6. Ron van Rooden (IMF), Kyrgyz Republic: Macroeconomic Policy Responses to Current External Shocks.




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