Preface Global Development Finance Volume II: Summary and Country Tables is part of a two-volume annual publication. Volume I: Analysis and Statistical Appendix contains analysis and commentary on recent developments in international finance for developing countries. Volume II: Summary and Country tables (GDF) contains statistical tables on the external debt of the 134 countries that report public and publicly guaranteed debt under the Debtor Reporting System (DRS). It also includes tables of selected debt and resource flow statistics for individual reporting countries as well as summary tables for regional and income groups. It is the culmination of a year-long process that requires extensive cooperation from people and organizations around the globe—national central banks, ministries of finance, major multilateral organizations and many departments of the World Bank. The Little Book on External Debt 2008 provides a quick reference to the data from the GDF. Global Development Finance 2008 on CD-ROM contains a database of 215 time series indicators, covering the years 1970 to 2006 in most cases, and to 2014 for “pipeline” data. It also contains the full contents of the print version of the GDF. Text providing country notes, definitions, and source notes is linked to each table. The general cutoff date for data is December 2007. This database is also available online (GDF Online) through the website of the World Bank. The database covers external debt stocks and flows, major economic aggregates, and key debt ratios as well as average terms of new commitments, currency composition of long-term debt, debt restructuring, and scheduled debt service projections for all countries reporting through the DRS. The economic aggregates presented in the tables are prepared for the convenience of users. Although debt indicators can give useful information about developments in debt-servicing capacity, conclusions drawn from them will not be valid unless accompanied by careful economic evaluation. The macroeconomic information provided is from standard sources, but many of them are subject to considerable margins of error, and the usual care must be taken in interpreting the indicators. This is particularly the case for the most recent year or two, when figures are preliminary and subject to revision. Shaida Badiee Director Development Data Group
The World Bank is the sole repository for statistics on the external debt of developing countries on a loan-by-loan basis. The Debtor Reporting System (DRS), set up in 1951 to monitor these statistics, is maintained by the staff of the Financial Data Team (FIN), part of the Development Data Group of Development Economics. Methodology for aggregating dataThe DRS data are used, in combination with information obtained from creditors through the debt data collection systems of other agencies, the staff of the Financial Data Team calculates the total external indebtedness of developing countries. The data are also supplemented by market sources and estimates made by World Bank staff. Converting to a common currencySince debt data are normally reported to the World Bank in the currency of repayment, they have to be converted into a common currency (usually U.S. dollars) to produce summary tables. Because flow data are converted at annual average exchange rates and stock data at year-end exchange rates, year-to-year changes in debt outstanding and disbursed are sometimes not equal to net flows (disbursements less principal repayments); similarly, changes in debt outstanding including undisbursed debt differ from commitments less repayments. Discrepancies are particularly significant when exchange rates have moved sharply during the year; cancellations and reschedulings of other liabilities into long-term public debt also contribute to the differences. Exchange ratesData received by the World Bank from its members and major multilateral agencies are expressed in the currencies in which the debts are repayable or in which the transactions took place. For aggregation, the Bank converts these amounts to U.S. dollars using the IMF par values or central rates, or the current market rates where appropriate. Service payments, commitments, and disbursements (flows) are converted to U.S. dollars at the average rate for the year. Debt outstanding and disbursed at the end of a given year (a stock) is converted at the rate in effect at the end of that year. Projected debt service, however, is converted to U.S. dollars at rates in effect at end-December 2006. Debt repayable in multiple currencies, goods, or services and debt with a provision for maintenance of value of the currency of repayment are shown at book value. Beginning with 1991 all ruble debt owed to the former Soviet Union is converted at a rate of $1 = 0.6 ruble, except in cases where a bilateral agreement specifying a different conversion rate is in place. This valuation method does not constitute an endorsement by World Bank staff of the appropriateness or validity of this method or the exchange rate used. The appropriate valuation is a matter to be resolved bilaterally between the Russian Federation and its debtor countries. AdjustmentsYear-to-year changes in debt outstanding and disbursed are sometimes not equal to net flows; similarly, changes in debt outstanding, including undisbursed, differ from commitments less repayments. The reasons for these differences are cancellations, adjustments caused by the use of different exchange rates, and the rescheduling of other liabilities into long-term public debt. Public and publicly guaranteed debtAll data related to public and publicly guaranteed debt are provided on a loan by loan basis by debtors except for lending by some multilateral agencies, in which case data are taken from the creditors’ records. These creditors include the African Development Bank, the Asian Development Bank, , the Inter-American Development Bank, and the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD) and the International Development Association (IDA). (The IBRD and IDA are components of the World Bank). Reports contain annual stocks and flows information as well as terms and conditions of individual loans contracted. Starting with the 1988–89 edition of World Debt Tables (the previous title of this book), all data pertaining to World Bank loans from 1985 onward are recorded at their current market value. Starting with the 1991–92 edition, all data pertaining to Asian Development Bank loans from 1989 onward are recorded at their current market value. Starting with the 1998 edition, all data pertaining to African Development Bank and African Development Fund loans from 1997 onward are recorded at their current market value as well. Private nonguaranteed debtThe DRS was expanded in 1970 to incorporate private nonguaranteed long-term debt. Reports, submitted annually, contain aggregate data for disbursed and outstanding debt, disbursements, principal repayments, interest payments, principal and interest rescheduled for the reporting year, and projected payments of principal and interest. Data are usually presented in dollars, and currency conversion is not necessary. Although the reporting countries fully recognize the importance of collecting data on private nonguaranteed debt when it constitutes a significant portion of total external debt, detailed data are available only in countries that have registration requirements covering private debt, most commonly in connection with exchange controls. Where formal registration of foreign borrowing is not mandatory, compilers must rely on balance of payments data and financial surveys. This edition includes data on private nonguaranteed debt, either as reported or as estimated, for countries for which this type of debt is known to be significant. For private nonguaranteed debt that is not reported, the standard estimation approach starts from a calculation of the stock of debt outstanding, using data available from creditors. Amortization is estimated by making an assumption regarding the proportion of debt repaid each year and then applying these ratios to generate a first approximation of annual principal repayments. Disbursements are then estimated as a residual between net flows (equal to the change in the stock of debt, adjusted by the effect of the currency composition of the public debt) and estimated amortization. Interest payments are estimated by applying an assumed average interest rate to the stock of debt outstanding. Data on the balance of payments flows provide useful guidelines in the process of building a time series because private nonguaranteed debt can be treated as a residual between total net long-term borrowing and net long-term borrowing recorded in the DRS for public and publicly guaranteed debt. Short-term debtThe World Bank regards the individual reporting country as the authoritative source of information on its own external liabilities. But for short-term debt, defined as debt with an original maturity of one year or less, accurate information is not widely available from debtors. By its nature, short-term debt is difficult to monitor; loan-by-loan registration is normally impractical, and most reporting arrangements involve periodic returns to a country’s central bank from its banking sector. Since 1982 the quality of such reporting has improved, but only a few developing countries have figures available for short-term debt. Where information from debtors is not available, data from creditors can indicate the magnitude of a country’s short-term debt. The most important source is the BIS’s quarterly series showing the maturity distribution of commercial banks’ claims on developing countries. Those data are reported residually. However, an estimate of short-term liabilities by original maturity can be calculated by deducting from claims due in one year those that had a maturity of between one and two years 12 months earlier. There are several problems with this method. Valuation adjustments caused by exchange rate movements will affect the calculations, as will prepayment and refinancing of long-term maturities falling due. Moreover, not all countries’ commercial banks report in a way that allows the full maturity distribution to be determined, and the BIS data include liabilities only to banks within the reporting area. Even on this basis, however, the results need to be interpreted with caution. Where short-term debt has been rescheduled, the effect of lags in reporting and differences in the treatment of the rescheduled debt by debtors and creditors may result in double counting if short-term debt derived from creditor sources is added to long-term debt reported by the country to obtain total external liabilities. Some of the short-term debt estimates published are drawn from debtor and creditor sources, but most are from creditor sources. Only for a few countries can the data be regarded as authoritative, but they offer a guide to the size of a country’s short-term (and, hence, its total) external debt. Interest in arrears on long-term debt and the use of IMF credit are added to the short-term debt. Use of IMF creditData related to the operations of the IMF come from the IMF Treasurer’s Department and are converted from special drawing rights (SDRs) into dollars using end-of-period exchange rates for stocks and average over the period exchange rates for converting flows, as described earlier. IMF trust fund (TF) and operations under the enhanced structural adjustment (ESAF) renamed in 1999, poverty reduction and growth facility (PRGF), structural adjustment facility (SAF), are presented together with all of the Fund's special facilities (buffer stock, extended fund (EFF), supplemental reserve (SRF), compensatory and contingency, oil facilities, and other facilities). Data are from the Treasurer’s Department of IMF. Treatment of arrearsThe DRS collects information on arrears in both principal and interest. Principal in arrears is included and identified in the amount of long-term debt outstanding. Interest in arrears of long-term debt and the use of IMF credit is included and identified in the amount of short-term debt outstanding. If and when interest in arrears is capitalized under a debt reorganization agreement, the amount of interest capitalized will be added to the amount of long-term debt outstanding and the corresponding deduction made from the amount of short-term debt outstanding. Treatment of debt restructuringsThe DRS attempts to capture accurately the effects of the different kinds of restructurings on both debt stocks and debt flows, consistent with the circumstances under which the restructuring takes place. Whether a flow has taken place is sometimes difficult to determine. In compiling and presenting the debt data, a distinction is made between cash flows and imputed flows. Based on this criterion, rescheduled service payments and the shift in liabilities from one financial instrument to another as a result of rescheduling are considered to be imputed flows. The imputed flows are recorded separately in the World Bank External Debt (WBXD) system, but these debt restructuring transactions are not evident in the main body of the debt data — only the resulting effect of these transactions is reflected. Changes in creditor and debtor status that can result from debt restructuring are also reflected. For example, when insured commercial credits are rescheduled, the creditor classification shifts from private sources to official sources (bilateral). This reflects the assumption of the assets by the official credit insurance agencies of the creditor countries. The debts to the original creditors are reduced by the amounts rescheduled, and a new obligation to the official creditor agencies is created. This shift also applies to private nonguaranteed debt that is reduced by the amounts rescheduled, which in turn are included in the public and publicly guaranteed debt owed to official creditors. On the debtor side, when a government accepts responsibility for the payment of rescheduled debt previously owed by private enterprises, the DRS registers a change in debtor categories in the DRS. Similarly, when short-term debt is included in a restructuring agreement, the rescheduled amount is shifted from short-term to long-term debt. Methodology for projecting dataThe WBXD system of the DRS projects future disbursements of unutilized commitments and future debt service payments. Future disbursementsProjections of disbursements help underpin future capital requirements in the implementation of externally financed projects. In addition, they help determine the interest portion of projected debt service. Future interest payments are based on projected debt outstanding that is itself determined by projected disbursements and repayments. The underlying assumptions of these projections are that loan commitments will be fully utilized and that the debtor country will repay all sums due. Future disbursements and debt service refer only to existing debt and do not reflect any assumptions on future borrowing. Disbursement projections use two methods: • Specific schedules. Debtor countries are requested to submit a calendar of future disbursements, if available, at the time individual loans are first reported. Country authorities are in a better position to provide estimated disbursement schedules when there is a solid public sector investment program in place. • Standard schedules. In the absence of specific schedules, the WBXD system projects disbursements by applying a set of profiles to the last actual undisbursed balance of individual loans. The profiles are derived under the assumption that specific sources of funds have some common characteristics that cause them to disburse, in the aggregate, in some observable pattern. Accordingly, some thirty profiles have been derived that roughly correspond to creditor type. Profiles exist for concessional and nonconcessional loans from official creditors. For bilateral lending, profiles have been developed for the Development Assistance Committee, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), and other creditor groupings. For multilateral lending, specific profiles are available for major international organizations. An estimating equation for each profile is derived by applying regression analysis techniques to a body of data that contains actual disbursement information for each loan. Although these standard profiles are reestimated from time to time, under the best scenario they can only approximate the disbursement pattern of any single loan. Future debt service paymentsMost projections of future debt service payments generated by the WBXD system are based on the repayment terms of the loans. Principal repayments (amortization) are based on the amount of loan commitments, and the amortization profile of most loans follows a set pattern. Using the first and final payment dates and the frequency of the payments, the system calculates the stream of principal payments due. If future payments are irregular, the WBXD system requires a schedule. Projected future interest payments are calculated similarly. Interest is based on the amount of debt disbursed and outstanding at the beginning of the period. Again, using the first and final interest payment dates and the frequency of payments, the system calculates the stream of interest payments due. If interest payments are irregular, the WBXD system requires a schedule. The published figures for projected debt service obligations are converted into U.S. dollars using the end-December 2006 exchange rates. Likewise the projection routine for variable interest rate debt, such as commercial bank debt based on the London interbank offer rate (LIBOR), assumes that the rate prevailing at the end of December 2006 will be effective throughout.
Metadata Summary tables present selected debt and resource flow statistics for the individual reporting countries and external debt data for regional and income groups. For the 134 individual countries that report to the World Bank’s DRS, tables are presented in a three-page layout containing 10 sections. The format of the regional and income group tables draws on the individual country table format and includes graphic presentations. As in the past, the database feeding the print edition continues to maintain all the derived indicator information. For all regional, income, and individual country tables, data definitions are presented below or footnoted where appropriate. Data definitions for other summary tables are, likewise, consistent with those below. 1. Summary debt data summarizes the stocks and flows of the major components of the external debt of the country. TOTAL DEBT STOCKS (EDT) consist of public and publicly guaranteed long-term debt, private nonguaranteed long-term debt, the use of IMF credit, and short-term debt. Interest in arrears on long-term debt and the use of IMF credit are added to the short-term debt and are shown as separate lines. Arrears of principal and of interest have been disaggregated to show the arrears owed to official creditors and the arrears owed to private creditors. Principal in arrears on long-term debt are shown as memorandum items. The relation between total debt stock and its components is illustrated on page xxiv. Long-term external debt is defined as debt that has an original or extended maturity of more than one year and that is owed to nonresidents and repayable in foreign currency, goods, or services. Long-term debt has three components: • Public debt, which is an external obligation of a public debtor, including the national government, a political subdivision (or an agency of either), and autonomous public bodies. • Publicly guaranteed debt, which is an external obligation of a private debtor that is guaranteed for repayment by a public entity. • Private nonguaranteed external debt, which is an external obligation of a private debtor that is not guaranteed for repayment by a public entity. Short-term external debt is defined as debt that has an original maturity of one year or less. Available data permit no distinction between public and private nonguaranteed short-term debt. Interest in arrears on long-term debt is defined as interest payment due but not paid, on a cumulative basis. Interest arrears are regarded as short term debt. Thus, an increase in interest arrears will not be recorded as increase in total long-term debt outstanding and disbursed (LDOD). On the other hand, a clearing of interest arrears as payments of interest arrears will be allocated to the relevant flows, being long- term, or short-term debt, depending on toward which flow the interest payments took place. It will be recorded as (1) a reduction of short term debt (Section 1); (2) a net change in interest arrears (Section 8). Similarly, the reduction of interest arrears through interest arrears restructured and interest arrears forgiven will also be recorded as a reduction of short-term debt (section 1) and as net change in interest arrears (section 8). In addition, interest arrears restructuring and interest restructuring will be recorded as interest capitalization (section 8). Principal in arrears on long-term debt is defined as principal repayment due but not paid, on a cumulative basis. Use of IMF credit denotes repurchase obligations to the IMF with respect to all uses of IMF resources (excluding those resulting from drawings in the reserve tranche) shown for the end of the year specified. Use of IMF credit comprises purchases outstanding under the credit tranches, including enlarged access resources and all special facilities, trust fund loans, and poverty reduction and growth facility (PRGF) and structural adjustment facility (SAF). • IMF purchases are total drawings on the general resources account of the IMF during the year specified, excluding drawings in the reserve tranche. • IMF repurchases are total repayments of outstanding drawings from the general resources account during the year specified, excluding repayments due in the reserve tranche. TOTAL DEBT FLOWS are consolidated data on disbursements, principal repayments, and interest payments for total long-term debt and transactions with the IMF and short-term debt. Disbursements are drawings on loan commitments during the year specified. Principal repayments are the amounts of principal (amortization) paid in foreign currency, goods, or services in the year specified. Net flows on debt are disbursements on long-term debt and IMF purchases minus principal repayments on long-term debt and IMF repurchases up to 1984. Beginning in 1985 this line includes the change in stock of short-term debt (excluding interest arrears for long-term debt). Thus if the change in stock is positive, a disbursement is assumed to have taken place; if negative, a repayment is assumed to have taken place. Interest payments are the amounts of interest paid in foreign currency, goods, or services in the year specified. Net transfers on debt are net flows minus interest payments (or disbursements minus total debt service payments). Total debt service paid (TDS) is debt service payments on total long-term debt (public and publicly guaranteed and private nonguaranteed), use of IMF credit, and interest on short-term debt. 2. Other net resource flows include net flows as well as nondebt flows from various international organizations. Debt forgiveness grants are both debts cancelled by agreement between debtor and creditor and reductions in the net present value of non-official development assistance debt from concessional rescheduling or refinancing. Data are on a disbursement basis and cover flows from all bilateral and multilateral donors. Foreign direct investment (FDI) is defined as investment that is made to acquire a lasting management interest (usually 10 percent of voting stock) in an enterprise operating in a country other than that of the investor (defined according to residency), the investor’s purpose being an effective voice in the management of the enterprise. It is the sum of equity capital, reinvestment of earnings, other long-term capital, and short-term capital as shown in the balance of payments. FDI includes inter-company debt. Portfolio equity flows are the sum of country funds, depository receipts (American or global), and direct purchases of shares by foreign investors. Grants are defined as legally binding commitments that obligate a specific value of funds available for disbursement for which there is no repayment requirement. Interest on long-term debt excludes IMF charges. International Development Association (IDA)grants are net disbursements of grants from IDA. The memorandum item technical cooperation grants includes free-standing technical cooperation grants, which are intended to finance the transfer of technical and managerial skills or of technology for the purpose of building up general national capacity without reference to any specific investment projects; and investment-related technical cooperation grants, which are provided to strengthen the capacity to execute specific investment projects. Profit remittances on foreign direct investment covers payments of direct investment income (debit side), which consist of income on equity (dividends, branch profits, and reinvested earnings) and income on the intercompany debt (interest). 3. Major economic aggregates provides data series for major economic aggregates. The five economic aggregates for the reporting economies are prepared for the convenience of users; the usual caution should be exercised in using them for economic analysis. Gross national income, or GNI (Gross national product, or GNP, in previous editions) is the sum of value added by all resident producers plus any product taxes (less subsidies) not included in the valuation of output plus net receipts of primary income (compensation of employees and property income) from abroad and uses yearly average exchange rates in converting GNI from local currency into U.S. dollars. Exports of goods, services and income (XGS) comprise the total value of goods and services exported, and receipts of compensation of employees, and investment income. Workers’ remittances, a transfer and not an income entry in the balance of payments, are treated as compensation of employees in Global Development Finance because they are often difficult to distinguish from compensation of nonresident workers and migrants. Workers’ remittances and compensation of employees comprise current transfers by migrant workers, wages and salaries earned by nonresident workers. In addition, migrants’ transfers, a part of capital transfers, are treated as workers’ remittances in Global Development Finance. See GDF volume 1 for more details. Imports of goods and services (MGS) are the total value of goods and services imported and income paid. International reserves (RES) are the sum of a country’s monetary authority’s holdings of special drawing rights (SDRs), its reserve position in the IMF, its holdings of foreign exchange, and its holdings of gold (valued at year-end London prices). Current account balance is the sum of the credits less the debits arising from international transactions in goods, services, income, and current transfers. It represents the transactions that add to or subtract from an economy’s stock of foreign financial items. 4. Debt indicatorsThe macroeconomic aggregates and debt data provided in the tables are used to generate ratios that analysts use to assess the external situations of developing countries. Different analysts give different weights to these indicators, but no single indicator or set of indicators can substitute for a thorough analysis of the overall situation of an economy. The advantage of the indicators in Global Development Finance is that they are calculated from standardized data series that are compiled on a consistent basis by the World Bank and the IMF. The ratios offer various measures of the cost of, or capacity for, servicing debt in terms of the foreign exchange or output forgone. The following ratios are provided based on total external debt: EDT/XGS is total external debt to exports of goods and services (including workers’ remittances). EDT/GNI is total external debt to gross national income. TDS/XGS, also called the debt service ratio, is total debt service to exports of goods and services (including workers’ remittances). INT/XGS, also called the interest service ratio, is total interest payments to exports of goods and services (including workers’ remittances). INT/GNI is total interest payments to gross national income. RES/EDT is international reserves to total external debt. RES/MGS is international reserves to imports of goods and services. Short-term/EDT is short-term debt to total external debt. Concessional/EDT is concessional debt to total external debt. Multilateral/EDT is multilateral debt to total external debt. 5. Long-term debt provides detailed information on stocks and flows of long-term debt and its various components. Data on bonds issued by private entities without public guarantee, compiled for major borrowers, are included in private nonguaranteed debt. IBRD loans and IDA credits are shown as memorandum items.Data on long-term debt include eight main elements, not all of which have been provided in the GDF print: DEBT OUTSTANDING AND DISBURSED is the total outstanding debt at year end. DISBURSEMENTS are drawings on loan commitments by the borrower during the year. PRINCIPAL REPAYMENTS are amounts paid by the borrower during the year. NET FLOWS received by the borrower during the year are disbursements minus principal repayments. INTEREST PAYMENTS are amounts paid by the borrower during the year. NET TRANSFERS are net flows minus interest payments during the year; negative transfers show net transfers made by the borrower to the creditor during the year. DEBT SERVICE (LTDS) is the sum of principal repayments and interest payments actually made. UNDISBURSED DEBT is total debt undrawn at year end; data for private nonguaranteed debt are not available. Data are aggregated by type of creditor. Official creditors includes multilateral and bilateral debt. • Loans from multilateral organizations are loans and credits from the World Bank, regional development banks, and other multilateral and intergovernmental agencies. Excluded are loans from funds administered by an international organization on behalf of a single donor government; these are classified as loans from governments. • Bilateral loans are loans from governments and their agencies (including central banks), loans from autonomous bodies, and direct loans from official export credit agencies. Private creditors include bonds, commercial banks, and other private creditors. Other private creditors comprise trade-related lending. • Bonds include publicly issued or privately placed bonds. • Commercial banks are loans from private banks and other private financial institutions. • Other private includes credits from manufacturers, exporters, and other suppliers of goods, and bank credits covered by a guarantee of an export credit agency. Four characteristics of a country’s debt are given as memorandum items for long-term debt outstanding and disbursed (LDOD) in the electronic database. Concessional LDOD conveys information about the borrower’s receipt of aid from official lenders at concessional terms as defined by the DAC, that is, loans with an original grant element of 25 percent or more. Loans from major regional development banks — African Development Bank, Asian Development Bank, and the Inter-American Development Bank — and from the World Bank are classified as concessional according to each institution’s classification and not according to the DAC definition, as was the practice in earlier reports. Variable interest rate LDOD is long-term debt with interest rates that float with movements in a key market rate such as the London interbank offer rate (LIBOR) or the U.S. prime rate. This item conveys information about the borrower’s exposure to changes in international interest rates. Public sector LDOD and private sector LDOD convey information about the distribution of long-term debt for DRS countries by type of debtor (central government, state and local government, central bank, public and mixed enterprises, official development banks, private banks, and private entities). 6. Currency composition of public and publicly guaranteed debt provides information on the currency composition of loans outstanding and disbursed based on repayment currency of individual loans. For major multilateral creditors, currency composition is based on reporting currency, which is mostly US$ and Unit of Account. The major currencies in which the external debt of low- and middle-income countries is contracted are separately identified, as is debt denominated in special drawing rights and debt repayable in multiple currencies.Beginning in 2001, debt denominated in the currencies of the 15 members in the euro area is included under the euro. 7. Debt restructuringsprovides information on restructurings of long-term debt starting in 1985. Debt restructurings include restructurings in the context of the Paris Club, commercial banks, debt-equity swaps, buybacks, and bond exchanges. In the event of a swap of long term debt (debt-to-equity, debt-for-nature, or debt-for-development), the face value of the debt swapped will be recorded as a decline in the long term debt stock, but the operation will not be recorded as a principal repayment. For example, if a country swaps debt of face value D against equity, then LDOD will decline by D and a principal repayment will not be reported. Debt restructuring data capture the non-cash or inferred flows associated with rescheduling and restructuring. These are presented to complement the cash-basis transactions recorded in the main body of the data, which show both the stock and flows rescheduled each year. In addition, the amount of debt forgiven (interest forgiven is shown as a memorandum item) and the amount of debt stock reduction (including debt buyback) are also shown separately. Total amount rescheduled is the total amount of debt rescheduled, which includes the debt stock, principal, interest, charges and penalties rescheduled. Debt stock rescheduled is the amount of debt outstanding rescheduled in any given year. Principal rescheduled is the amount of principal due or in arrears that was rescheduled in any given year. Interest rescheduled is the amount of interest due or in arrears that was rescheduled in any given year. Debt forgiven is the amount of principal due or in arrears that was written off or forgiven in any given year. It includes debt forgiven within and outside Paris club agreements, principal forgiven and principal arrears forgiven, and excludes interest forgiven. Interest arrears forgiven and future interest obligations forgiven are recorded as a memo item under interest forgiven (section 7). Interest forgiven is the amount of interest due or in arrears that was written off or forgiven in any given year. Debt stock reduction is the amount that has been netted out of the stock of debt using debt conversion schemes such as buybacks and equity swaps or the discounted value of long-term bonds that were issued in exchange for outstanding debt. It includes the effect of any financial operation that will reduce the debt stock other than debt stock restructuring, repayment of principal and debt forgiven (which is recorded separately in section 7). In particular, “debt stock reduction” will include the face value of debt bought back, the face value of debt swapped for equity (or “nature” or “development”), any face value reduction that might result as the consequence of a bond exchange, and any face value reduction resulting from an exchange of debt for discount bonds. Debt buyback is the repurchase by a debtor of its own debt, discounted or at par. In the event of a buyback of long-term debt, the face value of the debt bought back will be recorded as a decline in the long-term debt stock, and the cash amount received by creditors will be recorded as a principal repayment in Section 5. For example, if a country buys back long-term debt of face value B at a price p, then LDOD will decline by B, and principal repayment will go up by p*B. The difference between the secondary market price at which the debt was bought back and the face value is recorded as a debt stock write off (Section 8). Both debt buyback and debt stock write off are included in the debt stock reduction (Section 7). 8. Debt stock-flow reconciliation reconciles the stock and flow data on total external debt for each year, beginning with 1989. This section is designed to illustrate the changes in stock that have taken place due to five factors: the net flow on debt, the net change in interest arrears, the capitalization of interest, the reduction in debt resulting from debt forgiveness or other debt reduction mechanisms, and the cross currency valuation effects. The residual difference — the change in stock not explained by any of the factors identified above — is also presented. The residual is calculated as the sum of identified accounts minus the change in stock. Where the residual is large it can, in some cases, serve as an illustration of the inconsistencies in the reported data. More often, however, it can be explained by specific borrowing phenomena in individual countries. These are explained in the Country Notes section. Not all components are provided in the GDF print. Total change in debt stock is the variation in the total debt stock between two consecutive years. Net flows on debt are disbursements on long-term debt and IMF purchases minus principal repayments, IMF repurchases and change in the stock of the short-term debt Net change in interest arrears is the variation in the total amount of interest in arrears between two consecutive years. Interest capitalized is the interest that became part of the stock of debt due to a rescheduling operation. Debt forgiveness or reduction, is the debt stock, principal and/or interest that will not be paid . Cross-currency valuation effect arises from movements in the value of the dollar against other world currencies, as well as debt forgiveness or reduction, and effect the value of developing-country debt. Countries contract debt in various currencies. The debt data that countries report to the World Bank’s Debtor Reporting System is expressed in the currencies in which the original debt was contracted or in currencies in which it is repayable. For purposes of standardization and aggregation, the DRS converts these amounts into dollar values. The exchange rates used are generally the par values or central rates specified by the International Monetary Fund or market rates when necessary. Exchange rates in effect at the end of any given year are used to convert the stock of debt outstanding for that year in various currencies into the nominal dollar value. Residual is the change in the total debt stock that is not justified by the operations listed in this section. 9. Average terms of new commitments provides information on the average-terms of new commitments on public and publicly guaranteed debt and information on the level of commitments from official and private sources. To obtain averages, the interest rates, maturities, and grace periods in each category have been weighted by the amounts of the loans. The grant equivalent of a loan is its commitment (present) value, less the discounted present value of its contractual debt service; conventionally, future service payments are discounted at 10 percent. Net Present Value (NPV) of debt – the nominal amount outstanding minus the sum of all future debt-service obligations (interest and principal) on existing debt discounted at an interest rate different from the contracted rate. The grant element of a loan is the grant equivalent expressed as a percentage of the amount committed. It is used as a measure of the overall cost of borrowing. Loans with an original grant element of 25 percent or more are defined as concessional. The average grant element has been weighted by the amounts of the loans. Commitments cover the total amount of loans for which contracts were signed in the year specified; data for private nonguaranteed debt are not available. Grace period – the grace period for principal is the period from the date of signature of the loan or the issue of the financial instrument to the first repayment of principal. The repayment period is the period from the first to last repayment of principal. Maturity is the number of years to original maturity date, which is the sum of grace and repayment periods. 10. Projections on existing pipeline provides anticipated disbursements and contractual obligations on long-term debt contracted up to December 2006. Projected debt service payments are estimates of payments due on existing debt outstanding, including undisbursed. They do not include service payments that may become due as a result of new loans contracted in subsequent years. Nor do they allow for effects on service payments of changes in repayment patterns owing to prepayment of loans or to rescheduling or refinancing, including repayment of outstanding arrears, that occurred after the last year of reported data. Projected disbursements are estimates of drawings of unutilized balances. The projections do not take into account future borrowing by the debtor country. (See the Methodology section for a detailed explanation of how undisbursed balances are projected.) Country Notes Country notes at the end of each country table summarize major events that have taken place in the country in recent years and describe the sources of information for short-term and private non-guaranteed debt and main issues on data collection process. Unless otherwise specified in the table, data on long-term public and publicly guaranteed debt for 2006 are based on reports provided by the country, and short-term debt data are World Bank staff estimates, based on BIS data on international bank lending.
The principal sources of information for the tables in this volume are reports to the World Bank through the DRS from member countries that have received either IBRD loans or IDA credits. Additional information has been drawn from the files of the African Development Bank, the Asian Development Bank, the Central Bank for Economic Integration, the Inter-American Development Bank, and the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD) and the International Development Association (IDA). (The IBRD and IDA are components of the World Bank.) and the International Monetary Fund )(IMF). Reporting countries submit detailed (loan-by-loan) reports through the DRS on the annual status, transactions, and terms of the long-term external debt of public agencies and that of private ones guaranteed by a public agency in the debtor country. This information forms the basis for the tables in this volume. Aggregate data on private debt without public guarantee are compiled and published as reliable reported and estimated information becomes available. This edition includes data on private nonguaranteed debt, either as reported or as estimated, for countries, when available. The short-term debt data are as reported by the debtor countries or are estimates. The principal creditor sources are the semiannual series of commercial banks’ claims on developing countries, published by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS). For some countries, estimates were prepared by pooling creditor and debtor information. Data on long-term debt reported by member countries are checked against, and supplemented by, data from several other sources. Among these are the statements and reports of several regional development banks, government lending agencies and official government websites. Data on exports and imports (on a balance of payments basis), international reserves, and current account balances are drawn mainly from the files of the IMF, supplemented by World Bank staff estimates. Balance of payments data are presented according to the fifth edition of the IMF’s Balance of Payments Manual, which made several adjustments to its presentation of trade statistics. Coverage of goods was expanded to include in imports the value of goods received for processing and repair (on a gross basis). Their subsequent re-export is recorded in exports (also on a gross basis). This approach will cause a country’s imports and exports to increase without affecting the balance of goods. In addition, all capital transfers, which were included with current transfers in the fourth edition of the Balance of Payments Manual, are now shown in a separate capital (as opposed to financial) account, and so do not contribute to the current account balance. Gross national income (GNI) data for most developing countries are collected from national statistical organizations and central banks by visiting and resident World Bank missions. Data on GNI are from the Macroeconomic Data Team of the Development Economics Development Data Group of the World Bank. Every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the debt statistics. Nevertheless, quality and coverage vary among debtors and may also vary for the same debtor from year to year. Coverage has been improved through the efforts of the reporting agencies and the work of World Bank missions, which visit member countries to gather data and to provide technical assistance on debt issues.
The following symbols have been used throughout: • 0.0 indicates that a datum exists, but is negligible, or is a true zero • .. indicates that a datum is not available. • Dollars are current U.S. dollars unless otherwise specified.
Abbreviations The following abbreviations are used in the principal ratios and indicator tables: BIS Bank for International Settlements CRS Creditor Reporting System (of the OECD) DAC Development Assistance Committee (of the OECD) DDSR Debt and debt service reduction DRS Debtor Reporting System (of the World Bank) EDT Total external debt, including short-term and use of IMF credit FDI Foreign direct investment GNI Gross national income IBRD International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/World Bank IDA International Development Association (of the World Bank) IMF International Monetary Fund INT Total interest payments on long-term and short-term debt, including IMF charges LDOD Total long-term debt outstanding and disbursed LIBOR London interbank offer rate MGS Imports of goods and services MYRA Multiyear rescheduling agreement NPV Net present value of debt ODA Official development assistance OECD Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development OPEC Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries RES International reserves SDR Special drawing right (of the IMF) TDS Total debt service on long-term debt and short-term (interest only), including IMF Credits WBXD World Bank External Debt System XGS Exports of goods and services
Debt stock and its components
Regional groups | | East Asia and Pacific | Turkey (A) | Jordan (A) | Lesotho (A) | | Turkmenistan (A) | Lebanon (A) | Liberia (E) | Cambodia (A) | | Morocco (A) | Madagascar (A) | China (P) | Ukraine (A) | Oman (A) | Malawi (E) | Fiji (A) | Uzbekistan (A) | Syrian Arab Republic (E) | Mali (A) | Indonesia (A) | | Tunisia (A) | Mauritania (A) | Lao PDR (P) | Latin America and the Caribbean | Yemen, Republic of (A) | Mauritius (A) | Malaysia (E) | | | Mozambique (P) | Mongolia (A) | Argentina (A) | | Niger (P) | Myanmar (E) | Belize (A) | South Asia | Nigeria (P) | Papua New Guinea (A) | Bolivia (A) | Afghanistan (A) | Rwanda (P) | Philippines (A) | Brazil (A) | Bangladesh (A) | São Tomé and Principe (A) | Samoa (A) | Chile (A) | Bhutan (A) | Senegal (A) | Solomon Islands (A) | Colombia (A) | India (A) | Seychelles (A) | Thailand (A) | Costa Rica (A) | Maldives (A) | Sierra Leone (P) | Tonga (A) | Dominica (A) | Nepal (A) | Somalia (E) | Vanuatu (A) | Dominican Republic (A) | Pakistan (A) | South Africa (P) | Vietnam (A) | Ecuador (A) | |
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