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»» ABCDE 2013 Brochure and Agenda (. pdf)

Monday, june 3, 2013
08:00 – 09:00 Registration and Breakfast
09:00 – 09:30
Opening Address
Kaushik Basu (Senior Vice President and Chief Economist, Development Economics, World Bank)
09:30 – 10:30
Keynote Address 1: Cash, Capital, and Financial Institution Risk-Taking: Back To the Future
Chair: Asli Demirguc-Kunt (Director, Research Department, World Bank)
Charles Calomiris (Columbia University, US)
10:30 – 10:45 Coffee
10:45 – 12:15
Session 1 Managing Macrofinancial Risks

Chair: Luis Servén (Senior Adviser, Research Department, World Bank)

» “Bankruptcy Risk and the Great Recession”
Oren Levintal (Bar-Ilan University, Israel)
Discussant: Andrew Levin (Board of Governor Federal Reserve and IMF, US)

» “Estimating the Direct Impact of Bank Liquidity Shocks on the Real Economy: Evidence from Letter-of-Credit Import Transactions in Colombia”
JaeBin Ahn, IMF
Discussant: Maya Eden, World Bank

» “International Reserves and Rollover Risk”
Javier Bianchi (University of Wisconsin and NBER, US), Juan Carlos Hatchondo (Indiana University and Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, US) and Leonardo Martinez (IMF)
Discussant: Sergio Schmukler (World Bank)

12:15 – 14:00 Lunch
14:00 – 15:30
Session 2 Conflict and Violence

Chair: Norman Loayza ( Director WDR 14, World Bank)

» “The Cost of Fear: The Welfare Effects of Risk of Violence in Northern Uganda”
Marc Rockmore (Clark University, US)
Discussant: Ernesto Schargrodsky (Universidad Torcuato di Tella, Argentina)

» “Agricultural Production amidst Conflict: The Effects of Shocks, Uncertainty and Governance of Non-State Armed Actors”
María Alejandra Arias, Ana María Ibáñez, and Andrés Zambrano (Universidad de los Andes, Colombia)
Discussant: Steven Raphael (University of California, Berkeley, US)

» “Female Employment and Violence in the Household: Evidence from Nicaragua”
Louise Grogan and Asha Sadanand (University of Guelph, Canada)
Discussant: Rachel Heath (University of Washington, US)

15:30 – 15:45 Coffee
15:45 – 17:45
Session 3 Natural Disasters and Economic Development

Chair: Tito Cordella (Lead Economist, Development Economics, World Bank)

» “An Exploration of the Link between Development, Economic Growth, and Natural Risk”
Stéphane Hallegatte (World Bank)
Discussant: Eduardo Cavallo (IDB)

» “Monsoon Babies: Rainfall Shocks and Child Nutrition in Nepal”
Sailesh Tiwari, Hanan Jacoby, and Emmanuel Skoufias (World Bank)
Discussant: Paul Glewwe (University of Minnesota, US)

» “Destruction, Disinvestment, and Death: Economic and Human Losses Following Environmental Disaster”
Jesse K. Anttila-Hughes (University of San Francisco) and Solomon M. Hsiang (Princeton University and U.C. Berkeley)
Discussant: Ilan Noy (Victoria University of Wellington, New Zealand and University of Hawaii, US)

tuesday, June 4, 2013
08:30 – 09:00 Registration and Breakfast
09:00 – 10:30
Session 4 The Impact of Insurance on Agriculture Decisions

Chair: Shantayanan Devarajan (Chief Economist, Middle East and North Africa, World Bank)

» “The Added Value of Forecast Index Insurance: the Case of Moroccan Dryland Wheat Production”
Yoko Kusunose (University of Kentucky, US)
Discussant: Daniel Clarke (World Bank)

» “The Impact of Insurance Provision on Households’ Production and Financial Decisions”
Jing Cai (University of Michigan, US)
Discussant: Jeremy Tobacman (University of Pennsylvania, US)

» “Agricultural Decisions after Relaxing Credit and Risk Constraints”
Dean Karlan (Yale University, US), Robert Osei (University of  Ghana, Ghana), Isaac Osei-Akoto (University of Ghana, Ghana), and Christopher Udry (Yale University, US)
Discussant: Ruth Hill (IFPRI)

10:30 – 10:45 Coffee
10:15 – 12:15
Session 5 Household Risk: How to Protect the Poor?

Chair:  Peter Lanjouw (Research Manager, Development Economics, World Bank)

» “Protection versus Promotion in China’s Dibao Program
Martin Ravallion (Georgetown University, US) and Shaohua Chen (World Bank)
Discussant: Alan de Brauw (IFPRI)

» “Understanding and Information Failures: Lessons from a Health Microinsurance Program in India”
Jean-Philippe Platteau and Darwin Ugarte Ontiveros (University of Namur, Belgium)
Discussant: Jessica Cohen (Harvard University, US)

» “Seasonal Migration and Risk Aversion”
Gharad Bryan (London School of Economics, UK), Shyamal Chowdhury (University of Sydney. Australia), and A. Mushfiq Mobarak (Yale University, US)
Discussant: Andrew Zeitlin (Georgetown University, US)

12:30 – 14:00


Keynote Address 2: Learning from Fatalism, Fear and Failure

Chair: Kaushik Basu (Senior Vice President and Chief Economist, Development Economics, World Bank)

Stefan Dercon (Oxford University and DFID, UK)

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