The Delivery of Scaled Up Aid: Does Predictability Matter?

Date: December 17, 2007
Time: 8:30 am - 4:30 pm

Although not a new phenomenon, aid predictability is becoming an increasingly important issue in the aid effectiveness agenda, as the costs of volatility are becoming clearer and more evident with more aid being channeled via program aid. The workshop brings together regional and network staff, researchers, and representatives from other donors and  partner countries: (1) to take stock of what we know about aid predictability, how predictability of aid flows affects country performance and policies, and country-level issues in managing uncertain aid flows; and (2) brainstorm how the Bank and other donors are contributing to the agenda to improve the reliability of aid resources. 

Agenda (25kb PDF)

Opening Remarks by Mohammad Zia M. Qureshi (15kb PDF)

Background Papers

• Addressing the Challenge of HIV/AIDS: Macroeconomic, Fiscal and Institutional Issues, by Maureen Lewis
• IMF and Aid Flows to Low-Income Countries 
  • Aid Inflows—The Role of the Fund and Operational Issues for Program Design (378kb PDF)
  • Fiscal Policy Response to Scaled-Up Aid (231kb PDF)
• Improving the Dynamics of Aid: Towards More Predictable Budget Support, by Benn Eifert and Alan Gelb (665kb PDF)
• The Macroeconomic Dynamics of Scaling-up Foreign Aid, by Shantayanan Devarajan, Delfin S. Go, John Page, Sherman Robinson, and Karen Thierfelder (207kb PDF)
• The New Reality of Aid, by Homi Kharas (305kb PDF)
• Predictability of Aid: Do Fickle Donors Undermine Economic Development?, by Oya Celasun and Jan Walliser (639kb PDF)
  • Presentation (361kb PDF)
• The Role of IDA in the Global Aid Architecture: Supporting the Country-Based Development Model (382kb PDF)

Presentations

• Committing IDA for a Longer Term? by Gaiv Tata (4.13mb PPT)
• Improving Aid Predictability and Design of Budget Support, by Alan Gelb (195kb PPT)
• Improving the Delivery of Aid: Making Aid More Predictable, by Madhav Prasad Ghimire (15kb PPT)
• The Macroeconomic Challenge of Aid Volatility, by Andrew Berg and Calvin McDonald (534kb PPT)
• The Macroeconomic Dynamics of Scaling–up Foreign Aid, by Shantayanan Devarajan, Delfin S. Go, John Page, Sherman Robinson, and Karen Thierfelder (99kb PPT)
• ODA and Contributions to GPs (86kb PPT)
• Predictability of Aid: Do Fickle Donors Undermine Aid Effectiveness? by Oya Celasun and Jan Walliser (203kb PPT)

B-Span Videos

• Donor Mechanisms for More Predictable Aid
• Macroeconomic Issues in Managing Uncertain Aid Flows 
• Why Does Aid Variability Matter/Managing Uncertainty of Aid at the Country Level 
• Wrap-up and Strategic Directions 

Back to Poverty Reduction Strategies